Just killing time at the airport before the next leg.
The third and final presidential debate has ended, and it can now be said: Hillary Clinton crushed Donald Trump in the most effective series of debate performances in modern political history.
The polling tells the story. As Nate Silver notes, on the eve of the first presidential debate, Clinton led by 1.5 points. Before the second, she was up by 5.6 points. Before the third, she was winning by 7.1 points. And now, writing after the third debate — a debate in which Trump said he would keep the nation “in suspense” about whether there would be a peaceful transition of power, bragged about not apologizing to his wife, and called Clinton “such a nasty woman” — it’s clear that Trump did himself no favors. Early polls also suggest Clinton won.
And it’s not just the presidential race. Betting markets now predict Democrats will win the Senate. Polls have started showing Democrats in striking distance of the House. The GOP has collapsed into a mid-election civil war, with the party’s presidential nominee openly battling the speaker of the House.
This is not normal. As Andrew Prokop concluded in his review of the political science evidence around presidential debates, “There’s little historical evidence that they’ve ever swung polls by more than a few percentage points.” In this case, they did. And it’s because Clinton executed a risky strategy flawlessly.
Debate over! Closing the blog until the end of October although I may be updating my instagram account with some pics of my travels. I may update the blog from time to time also since I may have some long stretches in airports.
Are we drinking yet? Will start this up a little before it starts. Still trying to finish packing. This will be a live blog so in order to see the updates you will have to click on the post. It won’t show up on the main page.
2. Various errands
3. Live blogging the debate
4. Fleeing the country (not because of the debate)
I’ll be back this evening to live blog the final debate. Until then, allow Vic Berger to entertain you: