Trump Collapses


Donald Trump has had one of the quickest rises and falls in the history of Presidential politics. Last month we found him leading the Republican field with 26%. In the space of just four weeks he’s dropped all the way down to 8%, putting him in a tie for fifth place with Ron Paul.

Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney are at the top of the GOP race with 19% and 18% respectively. Newt Gingrich and Sarah Palin are further back at 13% and 12%, followed by Trump and Paul at 8%, Michele Bachmann at 7%, and Tim Pawlenty at 5%.

As Trump got more and more exposure over the last month Republicans didn’t just decide they weren’t interested in having him as their nominee- they also decided they flat don’t like him. Only 34% of GOP voters now have a favorable opinion of Trump to 53% who view him in a negative light.

Trump really made hay out of the ‘birther’ issue and as the resonance of that has declined, so has his standing. In February we found that 51% of Republican primary voters thought Barack Obama was not born in the United States. Now with the release of his birth certificate only 34% of GOP partisans fall into that camp, and Trump’s only in fifth place with that now smaller group of the electorate at 9%.

And his tv ratings took a hit also.


    1. remember the alan keyes constant – 27% of the population is insane.

      Speaking in 06 when I’ll Boots was at 34% & dropping, was asked how low could he go – immediate reply “27%”:
      Obama vs. Alan Keyes. Keyes was from out of state, so you can eliminate any established political base; both candidates were black, so you can factor out racism; and Keyes was plainly, obviously, completely crazy. Batshit crazy. Head-trauma crazy. But 27% of the population of Illinois voted for him. They put party identification, personal prejudice, whatever ahead of rational judgement.

      It surprising how well that number holds up.

  1. saw him on Colbert Report last night… he was making waves for a huge flagpole he erected on a golf course (without a permit, exceeded the city’s height variance), and in the interview where he talked about how patriotic he was and how he loved the flag, he said “I don’t know what the 13 stripes represent” in response to some unheard question. Hm. Didn’t we all learn that in elementary school?

    Smart one!

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