An Hour-By-Hour Guide to Election Night.

Nate Silver, creator of FiveThirtyEight, writes in Newsweek things to watch for on election night:

6 PM EST. Polls close in portions of Indiana and Kentucky.

Traditionally, these are the first states to get called by the networks, spotting the Republicans a quick 19 points in the Electoral College. This year, however, is liable to be a little bit different. Indiana is far more competitive than usual, and is probably the state with the greatest disparity in ground games: the Obama campaign has 42 field offices open there, whereas McCain neglected the state entirely until recently.

McCain 510 Electoral Votes, Obama 28

From a SurveyUSA poll from two years ago:

Exactly two years ago, SurveyUSA completed interviews with 600 voters in every state (30,000 total interviews), asking them how they would vote in a 2008 Presidential Election between John McCain and Barack Obama. Based on those interviews, SurveyUSA was able to report that:

In November 2006, Obama carried …

1. His home state of Illinois.
2. His birth state of Hawaii.
3. The District of Columbia.

(via J-Walk)

Obama Wins Dixville Notch and Hart’s Location

From the Union Leader:

Barack Obama came up a big winner in the presidential race in Dixville Notch and Hart’s Location, where the tradition of having the first Election Day ballots tallied lives on.

Democrat Obama defeated Republican John McCain by a count of 15 to 6 in Dixville Notch. The town of Hart’s Location reported 17 votes for Obama, 10 for McCain and two for write-in Ron Paul.

The first Dixville Notch voter, following tradition established in 1948, was picked ahead of the midnight voting and the rest of the town’s 21 registered voters followed suit.

The last time the town backed a Democrat was in 1968 when Hubert Humphrey was preferred to Richard Nixon.

Daily Dose of Ingersoll

If we give up the belief in devils, we
must give up the inspiration of the Old and New Testament. We must
give up the divinity of Christ. To deny the existence of evil
spirits is to utterly destroy the foundation of Christianity. There
is no half-way ground. Compromise is impossible. If all the
accounts in the New Testament of casting out devils are false, what
part of the Blessed Book is true?

Robert Green Ingersoll – “Superstition” (1898)