Iraqi Death Toll Exceeds 600,000

Bush in 2002:

Some worry that a change of leadership in Iraq could create instability and make the situation worse. The situation could hardly get worse, for world security and for the people of Iraq. The lives of Iraqi citizens would improve dramatically if Saddam Hussein were no longer in power, just as the lives of Afghanistan’s citizens improved after the Taliban. The dictator of Iraq is a student of Stalin, using murder as a tool of terror and control, within his own cabinet, within his own army, and even within his own family.

The Wall Street Journal today:

WASHINGTON — A new study asserts that roughly 600,000 Iraqis have died from violence since the U.S.-led invasion in March 2003, a figure many times higher than any previous estimate.

The study, to be published Saturday in the British medical journal the Lancet, was conducted by the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health by sending teams of Iraqi doctors across Iraq from May through July. The findings are sure to draw fire from skeptics and could color the debate over the war ahead of congressional elections next month.


  1. Even to the most patriotic or cynical, the report it is a sad and shocking indictment on the “coalition of the willing” and on the so-called “War on Terror”.

    Who exactly are the perpetrators of terror here?…. 600,000 people are testament.

  2. I was gonna suggest the CNN article to you with the following:

    “The methodology is pretty well discredited,” [Bush] added.

    Researchers randomly selected 1,849 households across Iraq and asked questions about births and deaths and migration for the study led by Gilbert Burnham of Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health in Baltimore, Maryland.

    Isn’t that how they do the US Census these days?

  3. Dubya’s paper on “Statistical inference and experimental design” will appear in the next edition of the Journal of Irreproducible Results.

    He’ll work on his book in between sessions of his International Criminal Court trial.

  4. I have never been in favor of the war with Iraq, and think Bush should be tried as a war criminal. But I find the 655,000 number hard to swallow. It just doesn’t seem possible. It is an average of about 500 people dead a day for three years straight from violence. If true it is approaching the scale of the attrocities in WWII. I would like to see a follow up study with a larger sample size.

  5. The war apologists on the right fell over themselves trying to put their spin on this study. In addition to Statistician-In-Chief Dubya attempting to discredit the methodology,
    Anthony Cordesman, an analyst with the Center for Strategic & International Studies, said the researchers were “playing politics” ahead of the November mid-term elections, prompting this dead-on response from University of Michigan professor and Middle East scholar Juan Cole:

    “Is he saying that 18,000 households from all over Iraq conspired to lie to Johns Hopkins University researchers for the purpose of defeating Republicans in US elections this November?”

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